Toy House operates 67 stores and an online store across 18 regions in Eastern Europe, offering more than 50,000 SKUs.
Toy Retailer
The fundamental goal of a retail business is sales, and the main asset is inventory. What inventory level is needed to meet expected sales? What KPIs should be planned for the next year? This demand planning solution helps retailers forecast demand and plan inventory with precision. You can answer these and other critical managerial questions with LEAFIO's AI-powered demand planning software.
increased forecast accuracy
reduced lost sales
reduced overstock
LEAFIO's AI-powered demand planning software uses advanced ML algorithms to predict future demand for each item with maximum accuracy. It analyzes full sales history, promotions, store traffic, seasonality, and external factors like weather, evaluating their non-linear impact while filtering out noise. This ensures optimal stock levels, preventing lost sales without overinvesting in excess inventory, while reducing the time planners spend on forecasting.
Promotional cannibalization: LEAFIO adjusts for overlapping promotions within a category instead of summing each SKU's uplift, since shoppers compete for the same wallet and store trip. Holidays and calendar effects: national, religious, regional, and floating holidays, plus the shopping days before them, are tracked as a separate, structured input, since they're typically the highest-volume trading days. Weather: LEAFIO applies it selectively, in a short two-week window, only for categories with a measurable effect, such as ice cream or bottled water, using each store's actual location.
Easily identify forecast discrepancies and focus attention on key products requiring adjustments. Customizable metrics like Percentage Error (PE) or advanced options (RMSE, MAE, BIAS) track accuracy, while category-specific thresholds trigger notifications for deviations. By prioritizing critical items, the system optimizes resource allocation and ensures efficient AI-powered demand planning.
Adjust forecasted volumes directly within the system based on historical sales trends, promotional impacts, or business insights. With detailed product views and clear breakdowns of sales categories (regular, promotional, irregular), users can analyze deviations, identify root causes, and make precise adjustments to improve alignment with business goals.
Easily make large-scale adjustments across multiple products by applying demand variation coefficients. This feature allows you to account for seasonal trends, market shifts, and promotional activities, keeping your demand planning accurate and aligned with changing conditions.
Maintain balanced stock levels despite unpredictable supplier schedules. The AI-powered demand planning software for retailers analyzes lead time and stock days to identify coverage gaps, alerts users to potential risks, and enables replenishment orders to be created directly within the interface, ensuring accurate replenishment planning for seasonal demand spikes or long-term stock needs.
Every forecast starts with Average Daily Usage (ADU), calculated separately for five product groups based on how frequently each SKU sells. The calculation is based only on valid days, excluding promo days, wholesale transactions, and days flagged as non-standard demand, so a single bulk order or a one-off spike stays isolated from future baselines. When a product runs out of stock, the system corrects recorded sales upward to reflect real demand, keeping next week's order accurate even after a stockout.
The same demand picture also sets buffers, places supplier orders, and balances stock between your DCs and stores.
Explore Inventory Optimization SolutionWe’re happy to discuss your business’s needs and share how LEAFIO’s market-leading, unified platform can help you drive profitable growth across your sales and distribution channels.
Demand planning software helps retailers forecast future customer demand using historical sales, inventory, promotions, and other business data. It generates accurate forecasts that support purchasing, replenishment, and inventory planning. This enables retailers to improve product availability, optimize inventory levels, and streamline planning processes.
The right demand planning solution should match your retail operations, data maturity, and inventory complexity. Look for software that combines accurate forecasting, seamless integration with your existing ERP and inventory systems, and the flexibility to adapt to changing demand patterns. A solution that automates routine planning tasks and provides transparent forecasts helps retail teams make informed decisions while improving operational efficiency.
Demand planning software improves forecast accuracy by using AI to learn from real sales patterns rather than relying on static averages. It adapts forecasts to seasonality, promotions, and local demand shifts, reducing guesswork. This helps retailers avoid chronic overforecasting, underforecasting, and constant manual corrections that undermine trust in planning.
Retailers typically start with sales history, basic product data, and available inventory information. Demand planning software can work effectively even when data is incomplete or inconsistent. Project teams help structure raw data, allowing retailers to start demand planning with the data they already have.
Demand planning software connects with existing inventory and ERP environments to share forecasts and actual sales data. This alignment ensures forecasts translate into practical inventory decisions, preventing the common pain point where planning outputs look good on paper but fail to improve availability or stock balance.
The first improvements usually appear in forecast accuracy and on-shelf availability, followed by better inventory turnover and fewer emergency replenishments. Retailers often notice reduced manual overrides early on, which signals more stable planning and fewer operational firefighting situations.
Most retail teams begin seeing measurable improvements within the first few planning cycles after rollout. Early wins often come from better visibility and reduced forecast volatility, while deeper financial impact builds as teams rely less on manual adjustments and more on consistent demand-driven planning.
Yes. Holidays, including national, religious, regional, and floating holidays, are tracked as a structured calendar input separate from general seasonality, since they are often the highest-volume trading days. Weather is applied selectively, for categories with a measurable effect, within the short window where a weather forecast remains reliable, using each store's actual location for precision.